He's not joking now. It will take a miracle to get in, it appears.
The Mavericks are tied with Notre Dame for 13th in the Pairwise -- the final spot. But they lose the comparison with the Irish. According to College Hockey News, Notre Dame wins two of three comparisons against MSU, including RPI (.5298-.5272) and record against common opponents (ND is 6-2, MSU is 7-5-1). Minnesota State has the better record against teams under consideration (11-14-3 to 5-10-1).
Notre Dame also "clinched" its spot in the tournament by losing twice this weekend in the CCHA tournament.
What really stands out in the common opponents section is Nebraska-Omaha. Notre Dame was 2-0 and MSU wasn't just 0-2 but suffered their most disappointing loss of the season to the red Mavericks.
Where fans will have the biggest argument in all of this is with Wisconsin moving up to 12th in the Pairwise. They have 11 comparisons won, where MSU and Notre Dame each have 10. MSU has the comparison against Wisconsin, including head-to-head and RPI, and the Badgers have a record below .500.